Bernstein–von Mises theorem

theorem that the posterior converges in the infinite-data limit 𝑁≫1 to a multivariate normal distribution centred at the maximum likelihood estimator with covariance 𝑁⁻¹𝐼(𝜃₀)⁻¹ with 𝜃₀ the true population parameter and 𝐼(𝜃₀) the Fisher information
rdfs:label
"Bernstein–von Mises theorem"@en
schema:description
"theorem that the posterior converges in the infinite-data limit 𝑁≫1 to a multivariate normal distribution centred at the maximum likelihood estimator with covariance 𝑁⁻¹𝐼(𝜃₀)⁻¹ with 𝜃₀ the true population parameter and 𝐼(𝜃₀) the Fisher information"@en
schema:dateModified "2026-06-05T19:15:41+00:00"^^xsd:dateTime
schema:version 2502322604
wikibase:identifiers 2
wikibase:sitelinks 4
wikibase:statements 17
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wd:statement/Q4894580-960156c1-4d51-f281-79a9-e243c320e689
wd:statement/Q4894580-c47d51f5-4b1f-ed3e-1dba-3141d36b485d
wd:statement/Q4894580-c539f096-4923-b5ba-4f73-4e6c5913704e
p:P138 wd:statement/Q4894580-24031afd-4698-66d7-1ef2-0eccd3279ef6
wd:statement/Q4894580-fc43d46f-4fa5-1696-41b5-1b76001d9d22
p:P2534 wd:statement/Q4894580-4d42fed2-4a72-af32-71d0-a235b3111357
p:P31 wd:statement/Q4894580-52298E78-ECB3-41E4-A017-EDB2BEC293CB
p:P6104 wd:statement/Q4894580-F2609698-EB60-4C6E-B098-088CF473C0CF
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p:P646 wd:statement/Q4894580-064DA5C6-14AC-45D9-A6E9-1FB7E616178B
p:P7235 wd:statement/Q4894580-1415e7b2-4563-d28f-9657-1c0b66796caa
wd:statement/Q4894580-3b7207f4-4d23-4da2-594b-733ebf163ba7
wd:statement/Q4894580-baebe299-4b69-63d4-b714-3cc87180e80c
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p:direct-normalized/P6366 <https://makg.org/entity/168408371>
wdt:P1269 Bayesian statistics
wdt:P1318 Lorraine Schwartz
Joseph Leo Doob
Persi Diaconis
Lucien Le Cam
David A. Freedman
wdt:P138 Sergei Bernstein
Richard von Mises
wdt:P2534 "<math class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mi>P</mi><mo stretchy="false">(</mo><mi>&#x03B8;</mi><mo stretchy="false">|</mo><msub><mi>x</mi><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mn>1</mn></mrow></msub><mo>,</mo><mo>&#x2026;</mo><msub><mi>x</mi><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mi>n</mi></mrow></msub><mo stretchy="false">)</mo><mo stretchy="false">=</mo><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mi data-mjx-variant="-tex-calligraphic">𝒩</mi></mrow><mo stretchy="false">(</mo><msub><mi>&#x03B8;</mi><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mn>0</mn></mrow></msub><mo>,</mo><msup><mi>n</mi><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mo stretchy="false">&#x2212;</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></mrow></msup><mi>I</mi><mo stretchy="false">(</mo><msub><mi>&#x03B8;</mi><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mn>0</mn></mrow></msub><msup><mo stretchy="false">)</mo><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mo stretchy="false">&#x2212;</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></mrow></msup><mo stretchy="false">)</mo><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mtext>&#xA0;for&#xA0;</mtext></mrow><mi>n</mi><mo stretchy="false" accent="false">&#x2192;</mo><mi mathvariant="normal">&#x221E;</mi></mstyle></mrow></math>"^^http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML
wdt:P31 theorem
wdt:P6104 WikiProject Mathematics
wdt:P6366 "168408371"
wdt:P646 "/m/0gyts5j"
wdt:P7235 "<math class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mi>I</mi></mstyle></mrow></math>"^^http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML
"<math class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mi>P</mi></mstyle></mrow></math>"^^http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML
"<math class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mi>n</mi></mstyle></mrow></math>"^^http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML
"<math class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mrow data-mjx-texclass="ORD"><mi data-mjx-variant="-tex-calligraphic">𝒩</mi></mrow></mstyle></mrow></math>"^^http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML
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